Indicator Current (Oct 2025) Historical Norm Alert Threshold
Swiss refinery backlog 6-8 weeks 2-3 weeks >10 weeks
1 oz coin premium $85-100 $30-40 >$120
Asian physical premium 2.5-3.5% 0.5-1% >4%
ETF discount to NAV 0.1-0.3% 0-0.2% >1%
Dealer delivery quotes 4-6 weeks 1-2 weeks >8 weeks